The No. 6 LSU Tigers (9-3, 6-2 SEC) and No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (12-0, 8-0) clash in Saturday’s SEC Championship Game. Kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (CBS).Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the LSU vs. Georgia odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
LSU stumbled in its regular-season finale, getting upset as a 10-point favorite 38-23 at Texas A&M last Saturday. The Tigers, ranked 14th in the College Football Playoff rankings, coughed up 274 rushing yards, and the Aggies went 10-of-15 on 3rd down. The loss snapped a 5-game win strike for the Bayou Bengals.
Georgia closed out it regular season with a 37-14 win over Georgia Tech last Saturday. The Bulldogs (-36.5) were against-the-spread (ATS) losers for a 2nd week in a row, but CFP No. 1 Georgia cruised in the win while keeping snap counts for key players relatively low in preparation for the program’s 5th appearance in the last 6 SEC title games.
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LSU vs. Georgia odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:52 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: LSU +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Georgia -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): LSU +17.5 (-111) | Georgia -17.5 (-109)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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LSU vs. Georgia picks and predictions
Prediction
Georgia 31, LSU 17
Moneyline
Nothing of value to pursue here. STEER CLEAR.
Against the spread
Georgia takes the most talent to the field in this game. The expected game flow and styles of play peg a game decided by 3 scores. But UGA also booted a league-high 21 field goals during the regular season, and it has the lock-down defense (270.7 yards per game allowed, 4th FBS) to easily make the case to taking the 3s as they come. And so, parsing what the likely 3-score lead looks like — or, if turnovers come into play, what a comfortable 2-score win looks like — becomes too tough a call.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 10-3-2 in the Bulldogs’ last 15 neutral-site games.
This total opened a field goal or more lower and has been steamed upward. And now to the point where some counterweight action has value.
The offensive numbers and looser game performances posted by both teams have tended to be in talent-gap games. Against better conference foes, the combined Under for these 2 teams has slightly performed the Over. The margins in those O/U results has significantly tilted toward the Under (easier wins on Unders).
The Bulldogs and Tigers own the top 2 SEC figures in red-zone defense. Georgia has allowed TDs on just 32% of visits; LSU on just 42.5%. The healthy rushing attacks (both sides top-40 in yardage) and the ‘Dawgs’ penchant for multi-field-goal games make the UNDER 52 (-108) worth a play.
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