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The Texas Rangers (12-11) welcome the Seattle Mariners (11-11) to Globe Life Field Tuesday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Rangers won 9-4 last year
The Mariners beat the Colorado Rockies 10-2 Sunday, closing as -114 favorites. They won 2 of 3 in that series after sweeping the Cincinnati Reds in 3 straight at home. Seattle has won 5 of its last 6 and is 4-5 straight up on the road this season.
The Rangers beat the Atlanta Braves 6-4 Sunday, closing as +138 underdogs. They ended up losing 2 of 3 in Atlanta. Texas did win 3 of 4 against the Detroit Tigers prior to that series and has won 4 of its last 7. The Rangers are 5-5 straight up at home.
Mariners at Rangers projected starters
RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Dane Dunning
Gilbert (1-0, 2.33 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.78 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 27 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-1 victory vs. Cincinnati Reds last Tuesday
- 2024 road splits: 0-0, 3.38 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 5 ER — 4 HR), 10 H, 2 BB, 15 K, .469 opponent slugging percentage (SLG) in 2 starts
Dunning (2-1, 3.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 23 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 5-4 win at Detroit Tigers Wednesday
- 2024 home stats: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 3-1 loss vs. Houston Astros April 7
- 2023 home splits: 7-2, 4.44 ERA (77 IP, 38 ER — 15 HR), 74 H, 18 BB, 51 K in 10 starts and 5 relief appearances
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Mariners at Rangers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Rangers -106 (bet $106 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+138) | Rangers +1.5 (-166)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Mariners at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, Mariners 3
Moneyline
BET RANGERS (-106).
The Rangers are coming off an impressive road win over the Braves. They are 5-5 straight up at home and 1-0 straight up as a home underdog. Texas has scored at least 5 runs in 3 of its last 5 games, so it has consistently produced offensively.
Seattle’s strength is in its pitching, but Gilbert hasn’t been as good on the road. It has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 8 games and is just 4-5 straight up on the road.
Considering those trends, back RANGERS (-106).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s not great value on the run line here. The Mariners are too risky as run-line favorites, while the Rangers are far too expensive as run-line underdogs.
Ultimately, whichever way one leans, the moneyline is the better play.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-112).
Again, the Mariners’ strength is their pitching. They have allowed 6 total runs in the last 5 games. Gilbert has been a strong option, although worse on the road, for them this season. Seattle is 7-14-1 O/U on the season.
Dunning has been solid as well, and the Rangers have allowed 18 runs throughout his 4 starts. Texas has gone 4-3 O/U in its last 7. Considering the Mariners’ strength in pitching, back UNDER 9 (-112).
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