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The Seattle Mariners (45-35) and the Tampa Bay Rays (38-40) begin a 3-game series Monday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Rays won 4-3 in 2023
The Mariners have struggled in the 1st 6 contests of this 9-game road trip. Seattle dropped 2 of 3 games in Miami over the weekend, and it suffered 2 losses in 3 tries in Cleveland last Tuesday through Thursday. It is just 1-4 in the past 5 outings, while the Over is 5-1 in the 1st 6 games of the trip.
The Rays beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-1 in the series finale Sunday. Tampa Bay returns home for the 1st time since June 11-13, when it took 2 of 3 games from the Chicago Cubs. The Rays are just 2-5 in the past 7 outings in Tropicana Field. The Over has cashed in 6 of the past 9 contests.
These teams met for a 4-game series in St. Pete last season, with the Rays winning the final 3 outings Sept. 8-10 after losing the series opener Sept. 7. The Over cashed in the final 3 meetings of that series, too.
Mariners at Rays projected starters
RHP Bryan Woo vs. RHP Taj Bradley
Woo (3-1, 1.67 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.61 WHIP, 0.7 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 1 K in 8-0 road loss vs. Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.45 ERA (22 IP, 6 ER), 0.64 WHIP, .163 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 2 HR, 1 BB, 15 K in 4 starts
Bradley (2-4, 4.06 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 44 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in 3-2 road win in 10 innings vs. Minnesota Twins Wednesday
- 2024 home splits: 1-3, 2.10 ERA (30 IP, 7 ER), 0.83 WHIP, .160 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 8 BB, 41 K in 5 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mariners at Rays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Rays -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+155) | Rays +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mariners at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 3, Rays 2
Moneyline
The MARINERS (-110) are a decent play behind Woo, who has pitched tremendously this season. He had an uncharacteristically poor outing in Cleveland last time out, but he still has a WHIP well under 1.000.
The Rays (-110) counter with Bradley, who has been strong at home, but the team has struggled to support him with the proper amount of offense.
There is risk, however, as Seattle has won just once in the past 5 games. Go lightly on the visitors.
Run line/Against the spread
The Rays +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s not a recommended betting strategy. If you like Tampa Bay, just play it straight up.
AVOID.
Over/Under
UNDER 7.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.
While the Over has been a frequent happening for the Mariners, roll with the Under. Woo has given up very little this season, and he enters with a sub-2.00 ERA.
The Rays have cashed low in 3 of the past 5 outings, while the Under is 4-1-1 in the past 6 home games, and 7-3-1 in the previous 1 outings at The Trop.
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