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The Seattle Mariners (79-63) and Tampa Bay Rays (87-56) meet Sunday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
Tampa Bay won 7-5 as a -153 home favorite on Saturday to take a 2-1 series lead. The Rays rallied from a 4-1 deficit to take a 5-4 lead but Seattle tied it in the 8th. Tampa Bay won it on PH Yandy Diaz‘s 2-run HR in the bottom of the 9th.
The Rays have won back-to-back games and are 6-4 in their last 10. Tampa Bay is 49-25 at home. The Mariners are 40-34 on the road and 4-6 in their last 10.
Mariners at Rays projected starters
RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Zach Eflin
Miller (8-4, 3.83 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 112 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 7-6 road loss Tuesday vs. the Cincinnati Reds
- 1 career start vs. Tampa Bay: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 1 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 6 K
Eflin (13-8, 3.47 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 155 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in an 8-6 home win Tuesday vs. the Boston Red Sox
- 1 career start vs. Seattle: No-decision, 6 IP, 9 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K
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Mariners at Rays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-190) | Rays -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Mariners at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 6, Mariners 5
Moneyline
LEAN RAYS (-135).
Tampa Bay is the hotter team and does hold the slight lead in recent matchups vs. Seattle, and with teams this evenly matched those slight advantages could prove pivotal. The Rays are 6-4 in the last 10 meetings vs. Seattle. The Rays are also 2-0 in Eflin’s last 2 starts overall.
This is a very slight lean as these teams are evenly matched and neither can seem to get the best of the other.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Mariners to cover here, but at +1.5 (-190) the line is not worth the risk. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7 (-120).
The Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 Seattle-Tampa Bay matchups. For Seattle the Over is 6-3-1 in its last 10 overall and for Tampa Bay the Over is 5-3 in its last 8. Also, the Over is 4-1 in Eflin’s last 5 starts.
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