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The Seattle Mariners (25-22) and New York Yankees (33-15) open a 4-game series in the Bronx on Monday with 1st pitch in the series opener slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 4-2 last year
Seattle is continuing with a road trip that opened with losing 2 of 3 at the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. The Mariner offense was hamstrung by a 5-of-25 (.200) performance with runners in scoring position.
Yankee bats have come alive with the club pounding out 26 extra-base hits over its last 5 games. New York won all 5 of those games and has won 7 straight overall. Over that span, the Yanks have a run differential of plus-29.
Mariners at Yankees projected starters
RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Marcus Stroman
Gilbert (3-2, 3.07 ERA) is making his 10th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 2/4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 4-2 loss vs. Kansas City Royals Tuesday
- Career vs. Yankees: 1-2, 7.97 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 25 H, 6 BB, 16 K in 4 games
- Current New York batters own an aggregate .852 OPS against him
Stroman (3-2, 3.33 ERA) is lined up for his 10th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 4-0 win at Minnesota Twins Wednesday
- Career vs. Mariners: 1-2, 3.75 ERA (24.0 IP, 10 ER), 28 H, 6 BB, 23 K in 4 games
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Mariners at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-185) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mariners at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Mariners 4
Moneyline
New York is 14-5 over its last 19 home games against Seattle. This month at home the Yankees are 8-1 with an .879 OPS and a 2.23 ERA.
With the way New York batters have hit Gilbert in the past, this contest is not one to pick as the end to their win streak.
Consider a partial-unit play on the YANKEES (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
Some interest here, but only on a Yankees -1.5 tag of something closer to +160. PASS.
Over/Under
The total has gone Over is 5 of Seattle’s last 6 on the road.
There is some fade to the surface numbers for both starters and the Yankees bullpen. Mix in the pitcher types — Gilbert as a fly-baller and Stroman as a ground-baller — and those play into New York and Seattle batting strengths, respectively. The Mariners own a .756 OPS against ground-ball pitchers, and the Yankees have posted a .799 OPS against fly-ball types.
The power-laden heart of the New York batting order is on a collective surge.
FanDuel Sportsbook has a lower run total here. TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-122).
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