The Seattle Mariners (56-49) and New York Yankees (70-35) cap off a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium with a Wednesday matinee. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 1-1. New York is 9-3 in its last 12 games against the Mariners.
Seattle owns a shaky .630 OPS since the All-Star break, but the Mariners scored 8 runs in an 8-6 triumph over the Yankees Tuesday. The output marked the club’s high-water mark since July 15.
The Yanks are 11-5 in their last 16 home games and their overall 41-14 home mark is the best in MLB. The Bronx Bombers have clubbed 15 home runs over their last 5 games.
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Mariners at Yankees projected starters
RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Castillo (4-4, 2.86 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st start with the Mariners and his 15th overall this season. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 85 IP with the Cincinnati Reds.
- Facing the Yankees in New York for the second time in 3 weeks. Allowed 1 R on 2 H and 1 BB with 8 K across 7 IP in a 7-6 Reds win July 14.
- Last pitched on July 27 and owns a 5.58 ERA over his last 8 starts on 6-plus days of rest.
Cole (9-3, 3.30 ERA) is making his 22nd start of the season. He owns a 1.03 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 125 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed 9 R (8 ER) through 12 IP across 2 starts since the All-Star break.
- Has registered a 2.55 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 over 70 2/3 IP at Yankee Stadium in 2022.
Mariners at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mariners +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Mariners at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Mariners 3
Money line
STEER CLEAR: better leverage can be found on the Run Line.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Mariners have had some surges against weak competition.
Cole has allowed a high (perhaps unlucky?) 15.3% home run/fly ball rate. Look for a bounce-back against a Seattle club that has been struggling on offense.
BACK THE YANKEES -1.5 (+112).
Over/Under
There is a bit of baked-in Over lean for this series. The Seattle bullpen is likely too far over its skis with its recent performance (2.85 ERA with .258 BABIP in July).
The Bronx weather report calls for a slight batter’s breeze on a warm day.
BACK THE OVER 7.5 (+105).
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