The Seattle Mariners (80-63) face the Los Angeles Angels (62-82) Saturday in the second game of their 4-game series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is at 9:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 8-8
The Mariners have dropped 5 of their last 9 games on the heels of a 7-game win streak, including the series opener 8-7 Friday. They currently hold the second wild card berth with a half-game lead over the third team, the Tampa Bay Rays.
The Angels scored 8 in the first 6 innings Friday, taking an 8-4 lead and holding on as the Mariners scored 3 runs in the final 3 frames.
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Mariners at Angels projected starters
RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Shohei Ohtani
Kirby (7-3, 2.98 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 111 2/3 IP.
- Has not allowed more than 1 run in any of his last 4 starts and has an ERA of 0.86 in that stretch
- Is 2-1 with a 3.06 ERA in 3 starts against the Angels
Ohtani (12-8, 2.55 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 141 IP.
- Has a 0.90 ERA in his last 3 starts
- Is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts against the Mariners this season
Mariners at Angels odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Angels -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+165) | Angels +1.5 (-205)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)
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Mariners at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Angels 3
Money line
This game features 2 pitchers on a roll. Kirby and Ohtani have allowed a combined 4 earned runs in their last combined 41 innings.
The Mariners had beaten the Angels four straight times and 5 of the last 6 matchups before losing Friday’s opener.
Seattle has played much better as a team for Kirby, going 14-7 in his starts, than Los Angeles has when Ohtani pitches, going 13-11.
Since both pitchers are rolling, it will come down to the bullpen. Seattle has a 3.33 bullpen ERA compared to L.A.’s 4.03.
I LEAN MARINERS (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
If both pitchers are on their game, this game will be close. Five games between the Angels and Mariners have been decided by only 1 run, and the Mariners have 6 one-run wins when Kirby pitches.
The Mariners are 77-66 ATS overall and are MLB’s 2nd-best ATS road team at 44-28 ATS, but this game promises to be a close one.
I am not confident enough that the Mariners will win by margin but the -205 on the Angels to keep it within one is too much juice.
PASS.
Over/Under
Ten of the 16 games between these teams this season have had at least 7 runs. The last seven matchups have had at least 7 runs.
While both pitchers have been allowing almost nothing, it doesn’t take much to get to 7 runs.
Take OVER 6.5 (-135).
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