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The Seattle Mariners (44-44) and Houston Astros (50-40) wrap up a 4-game set Sunday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 4-2
The Mariners lost 3-2 as +122 underdogs in the 3rd game of the series on Saturday. Seattle has won 6 of its last 8 contests and is 3rd in the AL West, 7 games back of the division-leading Texas Rangers.
The Astros bounced back on Saturday after dropping the first 2 games of the series. Houston is 2 games behind the Rangers for the lead in the division.
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Mariners at Astros projected starters
RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Brandon Bielak
Gilbert (6-5, 3.82 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 101 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 6-0 win at San Francisco Giants Tuesday
- Career vs. Astros: 2-2, 4.15 ERA (39 IP, 18 ER), 39 H, 4 HR, 8 BB, 36 K across 7 starts
Bielak (4-4, 3.81 ERA) makes his 10th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 54 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 4 K in a 4-1 home win vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
- Career vs. Mariners: 1-1, 3.20 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 22 H, 2 HR, 8 BB, 13 K in 1 start and 7 relief appearances
Mariners at Astros odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+125) | Astros +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Astros 3
Moneyline
Seattle is 6-1 in its last 7 games vs. right-handed starters and 4-1 in its last 5 road games.
Houston should struggle to beat Seattle in back-to-back games while missing both OF Yordan Álvarez (oblique) and 2B José Altuve (oblique).
BET MARINERS (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
It’s unlikely that the Astros will go this entire series without covering the run line at least once. Houston +1.5 (-155) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Seattle ML is the better play. Bet the ML and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
The Under is 4-1 in Seattle’s last 5 games and 3-1-1 in Houston’s last 5 vs. starters with a WHIP under 1.15.
The Under is 5-2-1 in the Astros’ last 8 games vs. the AL West and should hit again Sunday with both starters coming off great performances last time out.
BET UNDER 8 (+100).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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