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The Seattle Mariners (77-61) wrap-up a 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds (73-68) on Wednesday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 2-0
The Mariners lost 7-6 to the Reds on Tuesday despite OF Julio Rodriguez hitting 2 home runs. Seattle has lost 3 games in a row and is now 1 game behind the Houston Astros for 1st place in the AL West and holds the 2nd AL Wild Card.
Reds 1B Christian Encarnacion-Strand, 3B Noelvi Marte, and OF Nick Martini all hit homers in Tuesday’s victory. Cincinnati is 4-1 in its last 5 contests and is 5 1/2 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers atop the NL Central and in the final NL Wild Card.
Mariners at Reds projected starters
RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Lyon Richardson
Gilbert (12-5, 3.56 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 161 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 2-1 road loss vs. New York Mets Friday
- 2023 road stats: 8-1, 3.31 ERA (89 2/3 IP, 33 ER) in 15 starts
- First career start vs. Reds
Richardson (0-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.75 WHIP, 8.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 12 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 3-2 home win vs. Chicago Cubs Friday
- 2023 home stats: 0-1, 7.04 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts.
- First career start vs. Mariners
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Mariners at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:57 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Reds +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (-110) | Reds +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mariners at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 6, Reds 3
Moneyline
Even though the Mariners (-165) should avoid getting swept by the Reds on Wednesday, I’ll PASS on their moneyline at the current odds after losing the first 2 games of the series.
Run line/Against the spread
MARINERS -1.5 (-110) is a solid pick in this matchup with Gilbert starting for Seattle and Richardson starting for Cincinnati. The Mariners have posted the 3rd-best ISO (.213), the 3rd-best wOBA (.358), and the 2nd-best wRC+ (136) against right-handed pitching since the beginning of August.
Over/Under
UNDER 9.5 (-105) is how I’d wager on the total despite this game taking place at Great American Ball Park. Gilbert has given up 2 earned runs or fewer in 3 straight starts.
The Mariners are 4-5-1 to the Over in their last 10 games overall, while the Reds are 2-8 to the Over in their last 10.
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