The Seattle Mariners (21-22) will begin a 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves (27-16) on Friday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Mariners went 2-1 vs. Braves in 2022
On Wednesday, the Mariners lost 12-3 to the Boston Red Sox. Seattle has gone 5-5 in its last 10 games and is in 4th place in the AL West.
The Braves defeated the Texas Rangers 6-5 on Wednesday with SS Orlando Arcia hitting a solo HR in the top of the 9th inning to secure the win. Atlanta has also gone 5-5 in its last 10 contests and sits in 1st place in the NL East.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Mariners at Braves projected starters
RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Bryce Elder
Miller (2-0, 0.47 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 0.42 WHIP, 0.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 19 innings.
- Has allowed only 1 combined ER in his 1st 3 MLB starts
- Has put together a quality start (6 IP and 3 or fewer ER allowed) in all 3 starts.
Elder (3-0, 1.94 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 46 1/3 innings.
- Braves are 6-2 in his 8 starts
- Has allowed 3-plus ER in 2 of his starts; 2 or fewer ER in 6 starts
Mariners at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-155) | Braves -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120| U: +100)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Mariners at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Mariners 3
Moneyline
With both teams having pitchers that have performed well thus far, I’ll back the BRAVES (-155) at home in Friday’s interleague matchup.
Run line/Against the spread
BRAVES -1.5 (+125) has decent value despite Miller allowing only 1 ER in 3 starts. Two of Miller’s 3 starts were against the Oakland Athletics and the Detroit Tigers, while the Braves are tied for the 8th-best ISO (.179) and have the 12th-best wOBA (.322) against right-handed pitchers.
In comparison, the Mariners are 20th in ISO (.149) and wOBA (.306) against right-handed pitching.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
With Miller and Elder doing a formidable job limiting runs, I’ll take UNDER 8.5 (+100). We’ve seen rookie pitchers struggle after a few starts this season, but I believe Miller can prevent enough damage to help the Under hit.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]