The Seattle Mariners (74-62) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (45-92) Sunday for a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch in the finale of their three-game interleague series at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mariners vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Seattle won the first two games of the set by a combined score of 14-10 and the Mariners cashed the Over on their 72.5-win season win total with their victory in the series opener.
Season series: Mariners lead 2-0.
RHP Chris Flexen is Seattle’s projected starter. He is 11-5 with a 3.52 ERA (145 2/3 IP, 57 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 25 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision with 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Seattle’s 4-3 home loss to the Houston Astros Monday.
- 2021 road stats: 5-1 with a 4.55 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.44 WHIP and 3.0 K/BB across 11 starts.
LHP Tyler Gilbert gets the start for the D-Backs. He is 1-2 with a 2.93 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 over four starts and three bullpen outings in his rookie season.
- Last outing: Loss, 7-5, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 4 K Monday at the San Diego Padres.
- Gilbert’s first MLB start was a no-hitter against the San Diego Padres Aug. 14.
Mariners at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mariners -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mariners -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Prediction
Mariners 7, Diamondbacks 4
Money line (ML)
BET the MARINERS (-130) for 1 unit because there are so many pro-Seattle situational trends that bode well for the Mariners.
For example, Seattle is 4-0 in its last four games against a lefty starter, 6-0 in the last six games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 and the D-Backs are 1-10 in interleague games this season.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the MARINERS -1.5 (+125) only because I much prefer Seattle’s money line but there are a few reasons to sprinkle on the Mariners with a plus-money payout.
Seattle has the fifth-best cover rate on the road at 40-27 ATS and the Mariners are better in the three most important phases of baseball: starting and relief pitching, and hitting.
However, my preference is to stick with Seattle’s money line but MARINERS -1.5 (+125) will most likely be a winning bet.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-125) for a small wager because these teams have a combined 16-10-1 O/U record in interleague games and have played more to the Over in both of their location-based trends.
Also, we are seeing a little “reverse line movement” as nearly 80% of the bets placed are with the Under, according to Pregame.com but the Mariners-Diamondbacks total has more vig on the Over, which indicates oddsmakers would like more pro-Under money.
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]