The San Francisco Giants (14-9) meet their long-time rival Los Angeles Dodgers (15-7) Wednesday to conclude their 2-game miniseries. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
L.A. won the series opener 3-1 Tuesday with Dodgers SP Julio Urias outdueling Giants SP Carlos Rodon. Urias pitched 6 scoreless innings, allowing 4 hits with no walks and 4 Ks.
The Giants beat the Dodgers 10-9 in last year’s regular-season series, but L.A. had a plus-1 run differential in those meetings.
Giants at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Alex Wood vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin
Wood (2-1, 4.19 ERA) lost his previous outing Friday vs. the Washington Nationals. He went 5 IP, allowing 5 ER on 8 H, 1 HR and 1 BB with 3 K in the 14-4 loss.
- 2021 vs. the Dodgers: 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA (17 IP, 9 ER), 20 H, 5 HR, 3 BB and 22 K in 3 starts.
Gonsolin (1-0, 1.59 ERA) picked up a no decision in L.A.’s 5-3 loss at the Arizona Diamondbacks April 26. He threw 4 IP, surrendering 3 R (2 ER) on 3 H and 1 BB with 5 K.
- 2021 vs. the Giants: 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 2 HR, 4 BB and 3 K.
Giants at Dodgers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:44 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Giants +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-165) | Dodgers -1.5 (+133)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -107)
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Giants at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Giants 3
Money line
LEAN DODGERS (-160) only because there’s an argument to be made in favor of L.A.’s RL instead since the Dodgers have an edge in the 3 most important phases of the game: Starting pitching, relief pitching and hitting.
The Dodgers are 5-1 overall vs. left-handed starters and their lineup is better than San Franciso’s by WAR, wRC+ and BB/K rate, per FanGraphs.
Also, Gonsolin’s pitching peripherals are elite whereas Wood’s are below-average. According to Statcast, Gonsolin grades in the 88th percentile or better in hard-hit rate, expected slugging percentage (xSLG) and barrel rate while Wood is in the 52nd percentile in hard-hit rate, barrel rate and xSLG.
Finally, L.A.’s bullpen is 1st in xFIP, exit velocity, hard-hit rate and WHIP.
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Run line/Against the spread
LEAN DODGERS -1.5 (+133) only because L.A.’s ML is the safer bet. But, the Dodgers are an MLB-best 9-2 RL as home favorites whereas the Giants +1.5 (-175) are just 2-3 RL as road underdogs.
Over/Under
Slight LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (-107) only because both starters are bottom-of-the-rotation guys and the Over appears to be the sharper play since it’s pricier.
However the Giants-Dodgers are 3-7 O/U in their last 10 meetings, L.A. has played more to the Over as home favorites (4-7 O/U) and San Francisco is 1-3-1 O/U as road underdogs.
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