The San Francisco Giants (58-34) start a four-game series Monday against the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-36) at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
San Francisco dropped two of three games on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals in its first series back from the All-Star break. The Giants are just one game in front of the Dodgers for first place in the NL West.
L.A. took two of three at the Colorado Rockies over the weekend but failed to complete the sweep by losing 6-5 in 10 innings Sunday.
Season series: Dodgers lead 6-3.
RHP Kevin Gausman takes the mound for the Giants. He is 9-3 with a 1.73 ERA (114 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 over 18 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 9 K against the Washington Nationals last Sunday.
- Gausman is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA (11 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 5 BB and 11 K in two starts against L.A., this season.
- vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 150 at-bats with a .273/.353/.467 slash line, 32/18 K/BB, 7 HR and 22 RBIs.
RHP Tony Gonsolin is on the bump for the Dodgers. He is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 across six starts and one relief appearance.
- Last outing: No-decision in L.A.’s 7-4 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks last Sunday with 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K.
- 2019-21 home stats: 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 0.94 WHIP and 3.5 K/BB over 10 starts and one relief appearance.
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Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Giants 2
Money line (ML)
GIMME the DODGERS (-135) for 1 unit because there’s been heavy “sharp” line movement toward L.A., despite Gonsolin being a back of the rotation starter for the Dodgers and Gausman being a frontrunner for the NL Cy Young now that New York Mets ace Jacob deGrom is on the injured list.
This game opened as a coin-flip with each team laying -105 on the money line before the market steamed L.A., down to the current number.
I don’t think this is just the public blindly betting the defending champions at home because most bettors that are wagering on baseball at this point know the Giants aren’t a fluke and Gausman made his first All-Star Game this year.
Furthermore, L.A.’s projected lineup Monday will look more like the team that beat Gausman and the Giants June 29 whereas the Dodgers were without OFs Mookie Betts and A.J. Pollock when Gausman beat them May 30.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Dodgers -1.5 (+150) because Gonsolin has impressive numbers thus far but he still has a small sample size and the Giants have MLB’s best cover rate as road underdogs at 23-3 ATS.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8 (-110) for a quarter unit, if at all, because I much prefer the L.A., side more than the total.
However, there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market as nearly three-fourths of the cash wagered is on the Over, according to Pregame.com, but the total hasn’t budged from the 8-run opener.
Again, Gausman has been fantastic all season and Gonsolin didn’t allow more than 1 earned run in any of his six starts this year.
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