The San Francisco Giants (88-50) and Colorado Rockies (63-75) play the second game of a three-game series Tuesday at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Giants RHP Logan Webb (8-3, 2.56 ERA) makes his 21st start in his 22nd game. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 112 1/3 IP.
- Is 4-0 with a 1.64 ERA across 10 second-half starts. The Giants are 9-1 across those games.
- His 60.5% ground-ball rate is well above the league average of 42.7%.
Rockies RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez (3-6, 6.13 ERA) makes his 18th start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 98 1/3 IP.
- Is 0-1 with a 9.18 ERA over 16 2/3 IP across four starts and one relief appearance in the second half.
- Has the fifth-worst ERA, worst xERA and third-worst SIERA of any pitcher with 90 innings pitched.
Giants at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Giants -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Against the spread/ATS: Giants -2.5 (+100) | Rockies +2.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Prediction
Giants 7, Rockies 4
Money line (ML)
The Giants are the right pick here for a number of reasons – they have a major starting pitching edge, a notable advantage in bullpen pitching and an enormous advantage in the platoon split at the plate.
Colorado may be one of the league’s premier home teams but San Francisco has been equally successful on the road. The Rockies are 2-3 in their last five home games when faced with strong competition from the Atlanta Braves and the Giants in Monday’s series opener.
This is all unfortunately baked into the money line price. The play here is to play the game with another favorite in a parlay or PASS on the money line.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
As mentioned above, San Francisco has a sizable advantage in terms of platoon splits on the offensive side of the game.
The Giants rank fifth in OPS, eighth in wRC+ and sixth in wOBA against right-handed pitching. While their bats have cooled a bit in the last couple of weeks a trip to the hitter-friendly Coors Field should provide an opportunity to get back on track.
The Rockies are absolutely abysmal against right-handed pitching in contrast. Colorado is 30th in wRC+ and 20th in both OPS and wOBA against righties and hitters will have their work cut out for them against Webb. A previous meeting at Oracle Park in August against the extreme ground-ball pitcher resulted in just 3 hits and 0 runs over 6 innings.
If you’re feeling the value of the -2.5(+100) you can look to this run line, but there it is more reasonable to look to the ALTERNATE RUN LINE of GIANTS -1.5 (-140).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Giants may comfortably get to Gonzalez Tuesday but there is reason to believe the Rockies may not do enough damage to pull their weight in this double-digit total.
Coors Field has a well-deserved reputation as a hitters park but those factors seem to be often weighed too heavily into the number. Coors has played to the eighth lowest Over percentage of any park.
With a small “lean” and perhaps a partial-unit play (in case the Giants go off) back the UNDER 11.5 (-107).
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