The San Francisco Giants (52-30) and Arizona Diamondbacks (23-62) play the finale of a four-game set Sunday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Anthony DeSclafani is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 8-3 with a 2.91 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 92 2/3 IP over 16 starts.
DeSclafani saw a four-start win streak snapped last time out on the road against the Los Angeles Dodgers Monday. Despite the loss, he was still 4-1 with a 1.69 ERA across five starts over 32 innings in the month of June.
LHP Caleb Smith is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-4 with a 3.08 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 in 64 1/3 IP over seven starts and 18 relief appearances.
Smith moved into the regular rotation with six starts in the month of June, and he went 0-3 despite a tremendous 2.87 ERA. Run support was an issue, as the D-Backs provided him with just 17 total runs in his six June outings.
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Giants at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Giants -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (-120) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Giants 5, Diamondbacks 2
Money line (ML)
The Giants (-190) are just a little more expensive than my personal money line max of -180. I’d rather play the run line in this series finale.
AVOID.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The GIANTS -1.5 (-120) are a better play on the run line behind DeSclafani. While they didn’t hit the run line in Saturday’s 6-5 comeback win, eight of San Francisco’s previous 10 victories are by two or more runs.
On the flip side, nine of the past 14 losses for the Diamondbacks have been by two or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean in this one with DeSclafani on the bump. The Under is 3-1 across his past four outings. Smith has also done a good job limiting the damage, and the Under has hit in each of his past three outings.
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