Why UTSA Will Win The Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl
Get up fast on San Diego State and take your chances.
No, that didn’t work for Boise State, but San Diego State isn’t built to crank up a high-powered passing game to get back into games.
To play a fully healthy Aztec team – and not the version Utah State got in the Mountain West Championship – you have to be very, very patient. UTSA can do that.
It would be nice to have a great punting game to help control the field position battle. UTSA led Conference USA in net punting.
You need to be really, really careful with the ball and not give the San Diego State offense any easy chances. UTSA is second in the nation in turnover margin.
You need to be able to stop the run. The Roadrunners allowed just three yards per carry and 112 yards per game on the year.
However …
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Why San Diego State Will Win The Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl
North Texas and UAB ran wild on the UTSA defense.
It’s possible to run on the Roadrunners, but there weren’t a lot of teams on the slate that could do it. To be sure, they’re fantastic at holding up against the run, but the raw numbers aren’t going to mean as much to San Diego State as the control, the field position, and the time.
UTSA is okay when it comes to time of possession – the stats are a tad skewed by playing WKU twice along with a few other quick-paced teams. San Diego State lives off the number.
The Aztec run defense is a rock, the pass defense is dominant, and this group will come into Frisco in a very, very bad mood after what happened against Utah State in the Mountain West Championship.
This game will be a grind, and San Diego State does that a whole lot better.
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