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The San Diego Padres (61-69) will close out a 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers (72-57) on Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 5-1
The Padres were defeated by the Brewers 5-4 on Saturday despite SS Xander Bogaerts and OF Juan Soto hitting home runs. San Diego has won only 4 of its last 10 contests and is 7 games back of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final NL Wild-Card spot.
The win Saturday extended the Brewers winning streak to 7 games and Milwaukee has now jumped out to a 4-game lead over the Chicago Cubs for 1st place in the NL Central.
Padres at Brewers projected starters
RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Wacha (10-2, 2.63 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 96 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-2 home victory against the Miami Marlins on Monday
- Road stats: 3-0, 3.23 ERA (39 IP, 14 ER) in 7 starts
- Career vs. Brewers: 6-1, 3.99 ERA (79 IP, 35 ER) in 15 starts and 1 relief appearance.
Houser (5-4, 4.28 ERA) makes his 17th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 88 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 6-2 road win over the Texas Rangers last Sunday
- Home stats: 2-1, 4.12 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 1.86 ERA (29 IP, 6 ER) in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.
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Padres at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Padres at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
Even though the Brewers have strung together 7 consecutive wins, I’ll back the PADRES (-120) on Sunday with Wacha taking the mound. Wacha hasn’t given up more than 2 ER in a start since April 26 at the Cubs.
Run line/Against the spread
While the Brewers should keep this game close, go ahead and PASS on the run line in this matchup. Unless you can get Milwaukee’s spread at -160 or better, I wouldn’t advise wagering on the run line.
Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean as Wacha has been dominant and San Diego’s bats have been quiet recently. Houser has allowed 3 ER or more in 3 of his last 5 starts, but the Padres have produced 4 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games.
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