The San Diego Padres (46-31) open a 4-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers (46-28) Thursday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Dodgers lead 2-1 and hold a 1.5-game lead in the NL West over the 2nd-place Padres.
The Padres ended a 3-game losing streak with a 4-0 victory at the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday. San Diego is 5-7 in its last 12 games, coming off a 2-game series split at Arizona.
The Dodgers avoided getting swept in 3 at the Colorado Rockies with an 8-4 win Wednesday. They are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
Padres at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Mitch White
Musgrove (8-1, 2.12 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 85 IP.
- Suffered his 1st loss of the season in last start, allowing 6 runs on 7 hits and a walk in 6 innings of a 6-2 home loss to the Philadelphia Phillies June 23. It was the 1st start this season where he allowed more than 2 earned runs.
- He is 0-2 in 3 career starts at Dodger Stadium with a 2.87 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.
White (1-1, 4.25 ERA) makes his 6th start in 11 appearances. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 29 2/3 IP.
- The Dodgers have lost his last 3 starts. He allowed 3 runs in his most recent touting, pitching just 4 innings in a no-decision at the Atlanta Braves Saturday – Los Angeles lost 5-3.
- He has 1 appearance against the Padres this season, working 1 perfect inning with 2 strikeouts out of the bullpen (April 23).
Padres at Dodgers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:24 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Padres +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Padres 2
Money line
The Dodgers are great at home (20-12) and the Padres are 25-15 on the road, tied for the 3rd-most road wins in the majors.
Musgrove is coming off his worst start of the season and should bounce back.
Take the DODGERS (-135).
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Run line/Against the spread
The Padres are 28-12 ATS on the road, the best mark in baseball. They are 16-2 ATS as road underdogs.
But when the Dodgers win, it is almost without fail by 2 or more runs. Of their 46 wins this season, 42 are by at least 2 runs. They are 17-15 ATS at home.
It will come down to this, based on the trends, if you think the Padres will cover, they will probably win outright, so take them on the money. If you like the Dodgers to win outright like I do, you can’t ignore how they usually win.
Take the DODGERS -1.5 (+155).
Over/Under
Before Musgrove’s last start, he had allowed a total of 3 runs over 5 starts.
The previous 2 times White yielded 3 runs in a start this season, he responded by not allowing a run in his next start.
We are primed for a June pitching duel in Chavez Ravine.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-115).
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