The San Diego Padres (10-10) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (14-4) Thursday for the start of a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Dodgers 2-1
The NL West rivals met last weekend at Petco Park with the Dodgers taking the first two games and the Padres avoiding a sweep with a win in the finale.
Los Angeles had Wednesday off after winning 1-0 at the Seattle Mariners Tuesday to split a two-game series. San Diego enters on a 3-game slide after getting swept at home in three by the Milwaukee Brewers.
To begin this series, Padres LHP Ryan Weathers is projected to make his second career start. The 21-year-old rookie is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.72 WHIP, 10 strikeouts and 4 walks in 3 relief appearances and 1 start.
- Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 3 K vs. Dodgers Friday – Padres lost 11-6 in 12 innings
- 2020 postseason vs. Dodgers: MLB debut, 1 relief outing, 0.00 ERA (1 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 2 BB and 1 K
RHP Walker Buehler is the projected Dodgers’ starter. The five-year veteran is 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA (18 IP, 4 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 and 0.5 BB/9 in 3 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K at Padres Friday – Dodgers won 11-6 in 12 innings
- Career vs. Padres (regular season): 4-0, 1.62 ERA (39 IP, 7 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 6 starts
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Padres at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Padres +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Padres 2
Money line (ML)
PASS. The Dodgers’ (-185) price is chalkier than I prefer. The better value is actually with the Padres (+150), but I don’t like their chances against Buehler.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.
When the Dodgers win, they cover the run line. They’ve won by at least 2 runs in 11 of their 14 overall wins this season. Both of their victories (11-6 in 12 innings and 2-0) in last weekend’s three-game series in San Diego were by at least 2 runs.
The Dodgers were 6-4 straight up vs. the Padres in the 2020 regular season and five of the six wins were by at least 2 runs. Plus, when they met in an NLDS last year, the Dodgers swept the Friars in three with two wins by at least 2 runs.
ATS records: Padres 9-11 | Dodgers 11-7
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 7.5 (+100) is worth a 0.75-UNIT wager. Both clubs are Under teams.
The Padres have played 5 Unders in a row; the Dodgers have played 4 Unders in row. Both streaks include the final 2 games of last weekend’s series at Petco as the Under went 2-1 in those 3 games.
O/U records: Padres 6-14 | Dodgers 6-12
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 26-15 | 8-3 | +11.1775 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 129-100-1 | 57-44 | +24.7275 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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