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The San Diego Padres (57-50) and Baltimore Orioles (61-43) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 2-0
San Diego won its 7th straight game Saturday, 9-4 over the Orioles after winning the Friday opener 6-4. RHP Michael King quelled Baltimore’s offense to just 2 runs over 6 1/3 innings Saturday and Padres 3B Manny Machado put away the team that drafted him with a 3-run blast in the 7th. San Diego improved to 31-22 on the road and 56-51 against the spread (ATS).
Baltimore’s defense failed SP Dean Kremer (6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 1BB, 7 K) with 2 costly errors early in the game. CF Cedric Mullins provided all of the Orioles offense, going 2-for-4 with a HR, double and 4 RBIs. Baltimore has lost 5 of its last 6 games and is 13-18 during interleague play.
Padres at Orioles projected starters
RHP Randy Vasquez vs. RHP Albert Suarez
Vasquez (3-5, 4.17 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 69 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-0 victory at Washington Nationals Tuesday
- 2024 road splits: 2-2, 5.01 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 in 7 games
- Only start vs Orioles: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 1 K in a 6-3 loss on July 5, 2023, as member of New York Yankees
Suarez (5-4, 3.48 ERA) makes his 14th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-3 defeat at Miami Marlins Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 2-1, 2.31 ERA (35 IP, 9 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 9 games
- Has not pitched against the Padres since 2016
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Padres at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Orioles -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-146) | Orioles -1.5 (+122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Padres at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 7, Orioles 5
Moneyline
BET PADRES (+136).
The Padres continue to play great baseball. They’ve won 7 straight coming into Sunday’s game and I’m going to ride that momentum. The pitching staff has allowed just 11 total runs and tossed 3 shutouts over the 7-game run. Vasquez has found his groove over the last 5 starts, going 2-1 allowing just 5 total ER in 26 1/3 IP.
The Orioles are the better team, but right now they are in a bit of a funk coming out of the All-Star break. Saurez is 2-4 over his last 6 starts, allowing 12 ER over his last 3 starts. The continued pitching woes are why the Orioles acquired RHP Zach Eflin from the Tampa Bay Rays.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Since we’re backing the Padres’ moneyline, let’s stay away from the run line.
Over/Under
PASS.
I was confident the Saturday game would go Under, but obviously it did not. I’m gun-shy to give an official pick, but my lean would be the Over considering the pitching matchup.
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