Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (34-25) and Oklahoma City Thunder (28-31) meet Sunday at Paycom Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Kings covered as 6.5-point underdogs Friday in a 176-175 double-overtime win at the Los Angeles Clippers. G Malik Monk scored a career-high 45 points as both teams scored at least 170 for just the 2nd time in NBA history. Sacramento is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 games after a win.

The Thunder pushed as 9-point underdogs Friday in a 124-115 loss at the Phoenix Suns. G Isaiah Joe finished with a game-high 28 points in the absence of G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle soreness). Oklahoma City is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home games vs. teams with a winning record on the road.

This is the 2nd meeting this season between the Kings and Thunder, with the 3rd meeting taking place Tuesday. Sacramento pushed as a 5-point home favorite with a 118-113 win as the Under (245) cashed Jan. 20.

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Kings at Thunder odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kings -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Thunder +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings -3.5 (-115) | Thunder +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Kings at Thunder key injuries

Kings

  • None

Thunder

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle)

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 123, Thunder 122

Moneyline

PASS.

The Kings (-170) should win, but they are being a little overvalued on the moneyline. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER +3.5 (-105).

The Kings may lack focus for these 2 meetings vs. the Thunder after playing in such an emotional game Friday vs. the Clippers, and the rematch taking place March 3 in Sacramento. The Kings may also underestimate the Thunder without Gilgeous-Alexander in the lineup, even though Oklahoma City proved Friday that it can still be competitive without its All-Star guard on the floor.

Oklahoma City is 19-10-1 ATS after a loss and should be able to keep this game close, even without Gilgeous-Alexander.

Over/Under

BET OVER 239.5 (-112).

The Over is 7-1 in Sacramento’s last 8 games and 4-1 in the Kings’ last 5 vs. teams with a losing record. The Over has hit in 13 of Oklahoma City’s last 18 games vs. teams with a winning record and is 23-9 in the Thunder’s last 32 home games vs. teams with a winning record on the road.

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