Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (25-48) roll into Naptown to face the Indiana Pacers (25-47) at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Pacers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Kings limp into this one likely without three of their top players ,  including PG De’Aaron Fox and former Pacers PF Domantas Sabonis.

Rookie PG Davion Mitchell has stepped up in Fox’s absence. The ninth-overall pick in last year’s draft scored a career-high 28 points in the Kings’ last game, a 127-124 overtime home loss to the Phoenix Suns. The Kings have lost three in a row and seven of eight.

The Pacers have played a little better since acquiring a couple of shooters in the backcourt to replace Sabonis before the trade deadline. They have won two in a row and are 4-5 in their last nine outings.

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Kings at Pacers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:53 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Kings +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Pacers -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Kings +5.5 (-120) | Pacers -5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 234.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Kings at Pacers key injuries

Kings

  • PG De’Aaron Fox (hand) doubtful
  • C Richaun Holmes (personal) out
  • PF Domantas Sabonis (knee) out

Pacers

  • PG Malcolm Brogdon (rest) out
  • SG Chris Duarte (toe) questionable
  • PG Tyrese Haliburton (back) questionable
  • F Isaiah Jackson (concussion) out
  • C Myles Turner (foot) out

[tipico]

Kings at Pacers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 110, Kings 107

Money line

PASS.

We’re not going to risk 2.1 times our return on the Pacers to beat anyone.

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Against the spread

BET the KINGS +5.5 (-120) FOR A HALF UNIT, or you could wait until closer to game time in hopes of getting +6 or better.

Albeit with Sabonis in the lineup, the Kings took the Suns to overtime Sunday and almost knocked them off. This is a scrappy team that also posted 126 points in a nine-point home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks three games ago.

As bad as the Kings have been on the road (9-25), they’re actually 15-18-1 ATS on the road this season and 5-3-1 ATS across their last nine games overall.

The losses of Fox and Sabonis will ultimately be their downfall, but it gives Mitchell freedom to run the offense. They’ll be hungry from the 3-point line, which should help them cover the spread here.

Over/Under

UNDER 234.5 (-107) is an attractive play.

The Kings are eighth in pace of play in the league, but a lot of that is due to the speedy Fox running the show. Mitchell will have to slow things down to and be pragmatic with the offense. The Pacers are 19th in pace of play, and this figures to be a grind.

The Under is 5-2 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these two when playing at Indiana and 9-4 in the last 13 overall.

The Kings and Pacers met in early November with the Pacers claiming a 94-91 victory, almost 40 points Under the O/U line of 224.5.

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