Razorbacks have only 28% chance to beat Ole Miss

Arkansas has won five straight against Ole Miss. ESPN’s numbers say that streak will end Wednesday.

The Arkansas basketball team owns more wins over Ole Miss than any other team in the SEC, save Texas A&M and that’s because of the Aggies’ days in the Southwest Conference with the Razorbacks in the old days.

Arkansas has dominated Ole Miss, really, with a 52-33 record since the two began playing back in the 1940s. The Rebels have had quality stretches, mostly in those pitiful Hogs seasons of the early 2000s and early 2010s.

This time, it’s looking like the boys from Oxford are about to snap a five-game losing streak to the Razorbacks. According to ESPN’s basketball power index, Ole Miss has a 71.5% chance of beating Arkansas when the two teams tip off Wednesday in Mississippi.

The Rebels have been good this year. They fell out of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll rankings on Monday, but still picked up votes with one of last week’s two losses coming to powerhouse Auburn. Arkansas, meanwhile, has started SEC play just 1-4, with its lone win coming against Texas A&M on a last-second buzzer-beater.

Ole Miss’ last win in the series came in January 2019 in Oxford, before Eric Musselman took over as Arkansas head coach. Keyshawn Embery-Simpson led the Hogs that day with 16 points.