The No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (14-1, 3-1 Big Ten) and Penn State Nittany Lions (11-4, 2-2) meet for a PSU home-away-from-home game at the famed Palestra in Philadelphia. Tip time is slated for 6 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Purdue rebounded from Monday’s 65-64 loss at Rutgers to earn a hard-fought 71-69 win at No. 23 Ohio State Thursday and cover the 1.5-point spread. The Boilermakers, who snapped an 8-game winless streak (0-7-1) against the spread (ATS), knocked down a season-high 13 triples in the contest. Slow-tempo Purdue does not usually rely on 3s to that extent; it ranks 271st in NCAA-I with a 31.5% mark from beyond the arc.
The Nittany Lions last played on Wednesday when they were a +4 underdog and lost 79-69 at Michigan. Penn State was a -6 on the boards and sent the Wolverines to the free-throw line 25 times. Against the number, PSU has won back-to-back games against Purdue.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
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Purdue at Penn State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Purdue -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Penn State +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Against the spread (ATS): Purdue -5.5 (-105) | Penn State +5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Purdue at Penn State picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 67, Penn State 66
Moneyline
Penn State is the lean in a vacuum, but we would want +200 or better to think about a partial-unit play. PASS.
Against the spread
Purdue is a slow-tempo program that plays a lot of close games. The Boilermakers are 6-17-3 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight-up win. Purdue is 1-10 ATS when favored by 4.5-points or more.
Penn State is 7-1 ATS after its last 8 straight-up losses. And the underdog is 4-1-1 in the last 6 games in this series.
The Lions cede sizable advantages to their guests in rebounding and free-throw frequency. But Penn State takes care of the basketball and should get its fair share of treys, even in the alternate venue against a Purdue team that has defended the perimeter well.
TAKE PENN STATE +5.5 (-115).
Over/Under
This game figures to have a bottom-3rd pace. There is the chance of some 3-ball spiral, but figure on long possessions winning out.
Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 135.5 (-115).
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