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The Purdue Boilermakers (9-4, 1-1 Big Ten) and Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-5, 0-2) meet Thursday in Minneapolis. The opening tip at Williams Arena will be at 8 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Purdue vs. Minnesota odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Purdue, which is No. 22 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, is playing its first true road game since losing its league opener at the Penn State Nittany Lions on Dec. 5. Since then, the Boilermakers have lost 2 more games in 4 chances. They are just 1-5 against the spread (ATS) over their last 6 games.
Minnesota is winless in 2 Big Ten games so far. But in its last 2 contests, UM prevailed over a couple overmatched non-conference foes. The most recent of those was a 90-68 triumph over the 23-point underdog Morgan State Bears Sunday. The Gophers have not filed an ATS winsince their Nov. 6 opener; they are 0-10-2 ATS since.
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Purdue at Minnesota odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds Lines last updated at 10:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Purdue -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Minnesota +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
- Against the spread (ATS): Purdue -5.5 (-110) | Minnesota +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Purdue at Minnesota picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 69, Minnesota 64
Moneyline
No interest. PASS.
Against the spread
In its last 20 regular-season road games when lined as a favorite, Purdue has gone 5-13-2 ATS. Minnesota is 6-1-1 ATS across its last 8 games as a home underdog.
Recent comps for UM were December conference games against the Michigan State Spartans (Dec. 4) and Indiana Hoosiers (Dec. 9). The Gophers filed ATS losses in both games but against outlier shooting (54.6% on field goals, 41.7% on 3s).
Minnesota has some of its value tucked away in somewhat hidden facets of the game like keeping opponent free throws in check and turnover avoidance. The Gophers are coming off an excellent distance shooting performance (13-of-29, 44.8% on Sunday) and are a candidate for better 3-point success after a slow start to the season.
The Gophers are a lean, but perhaps a less-than-golden one. Consider a partial-unit bet on MINNESOTA +5.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Under is 4-2 in UM’s last 6 games when lined as a home underdog.
Both sides play at a bottom-100 pace. The main point-spiral effect in PU’s arsenal is the Boilermakers’ ability to crank out a lot of foul shots (46th in KenPow free-throw rate). Minnesota’s flips-side is 62nd.
BACK THE UNDER 135.5 (-110).
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