The No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (16-1, 5-1 Big Ten) and Michigan State Spartans (15-5, 4-2) line up for a special Monday matinee at the Breslin Center in East Lansing. Tip-off is at 2:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Purdue has won 3 consecutive games straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) since losing to Rutgers 65-64 on Jan. 2. In the win streak Purdue is hittting 10.7 triples per game — and made the 3-pointers at a 41% clip. The percentage is a new trend for a team ranked 227th in the nation in 3-point accuracy (32.6%).
The Spartans are coming off a 75-66 loss at Illinois Friday night as 6.5-point underdogs. MSU was undone by an 0-for-7 performance from beyond the arc. In 10 games prior to Friday, the Spartans connected on 40.1% of its triples.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
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Purdue at Michigan State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Purdue -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Michigan State +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Purdue -3.5 (-115) | Michigan State +3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Purdue at Michigan State picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 68, Michigan State 67
Moneyline
Rebounding at both ends will loom large in this game. Michigan State has been quite good — and improving of late — on the defensive glass. It’s coming off 1 of its best efforts in corralling offensive rebounds.
The Spartans have played a tougher schedule to date, and they’ve faced some top-notch offensive teams. The Boilermakers figure to have the advantage when piling up free throws in this game, but expect the Spartans to have the upper hand from beyond the arc, where prizes really add up.
Still, a PASS is recommended here. Michigan State is the lean, but we would want a +155 to account for expected odds near 40%.
Against the spread
The Boilermakers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight-up win. The Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight-up loss. In this series, the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. MSU took both games ATS from Purdue last season (straight up 1-1).
The way veteran Michigan State played Gonzaga (Nov. 11) and Alabama (Nov. 24) make for some optimism in this spot. (The latter was a loss but a game well-played in many respects by the Spartans.)
Look for Purdue to be tested down to the wire Monday afternoon.
BACK MICHIGAN STATE +3.5 (-105).
Over/Under
A slow pace is expected, but these are 2 efficient offenses and ones trending upward of late.
PASS on the current total, but this game is worth a line watch. Partial-unit action on the Over can be considered at 132 or better.
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