The Purdue Boilermakers (7-5 overall, 2-3 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (8-3, 2-3) Friday for a 7 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Purdue-Michigan State college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Purdue at Michigan State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Purdue +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Michigan State -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Purdue +4.5 (-110) | Michigan State -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 143.5. (O: -110 | U: -110)
Purdue at Michigan State: Three things to know
- Purdue visits East Lansing, Mich., on a two-game skid, most recently falling at then-No. 16 Illinois 66-58 Saturday – the game was a push as Purdue was an 8-point underdog. The Boilermakers led 42-39 with 13:50 to go before the Illini grabbed the lead for good one minute later at 43-42. A 39.3% field-goal percentage (22-for-56) did in Purdue, which received a team-high 14-points apiece from junior F Trevion Williams and freshman G Brandon Newman. Purdue was scheduled to host Nebraska Tuesday, but the game was postponed in a mutual agreement between the two programs due to health and safety concerns. Williams leads the Boilers with 14.1 points per game and 9.6 rebounds per game.
- Michigan State knocked off No. 14 Rutgers 68-45 as a 3-point home favorite Tuesday. Junior F Aaron Henry scored a game-high 20 points with 8 rebounds and 4 blocks as the Spartans won a second in a row after dropping three consecutive Big Ten games – a slide that saw the Spartans fall out of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll. Henry leads Michigan State in points (14.0 PPG), assists (3.8 APG) and steals (1.6 SPG), while junior F Joey Hauser is the top rebounder (8.5 RPG).
- The Boilermakers stunned the Spartans 71-42 as 4-point home underdogs last season (Jan. 12). Purdue held Michigan State to 35.3% shooting (18-for-51), including just 2-for-16 behind the 3-point arc. It was Purdue’s second win in a row in the head-to-head series, which is tied 5-5 in the last 10 meetings.
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Purdue at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Michigan State 75, Purdue 68
Money line (ML)
The Spartans win this one, but I’ll PASS on the -200 ML price and focus on the spread below.
Against the spread (ATS)
MICHIGAN STATE -4.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Both teams have been terrible against the spread. Purdue is 3-7-2 ATS and Michigan State is 3-8 ATS.
The Spartans, who are coming off impressive back-to-back victories, get the nod here, especially with the contest on their home floor.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS. The O/U of 142.5 is right where my projection is. Purdue averages 71.6 PPG and Michigan State is scoring at a 78.0 PPG clip. Defensively, the Boilermakers have a slight edge, yielding 67.3 PPG compared to the Spartans’ 72.8 PPG. Backing either the Over or the Under would just be a flip of a coin, which offers no advantage here.
O/U records: Purdue 7-5 | Michigan State 6-5
Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays | 22-20 / 8-12 |
| CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays | 7-3 / 3-2 |
| 2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays | 15-8 / 8-4 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays | 178-147-4 / 87-61-1 |
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