The No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (19-1, 8-1 Big Ten) and Michigan Wolverines (11-8, 5-3) tussle Thursday. The contest at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor will tip off at 9 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Purdue’s lone loss came on Jan. 2 against Rutgers (65-64). The Boilermakers shot just 30.4% from distance and 67.9% from the foul line in that game, but have shot a robust 38.5% on 3s and a blistering 84.2% on free throws in going 6-0 since.
The Wolverines are 6-1 straight up over their last 7 games against the Boilermakers and have won 11 in a row against the spread (ATS) in the series. However, Michigan has struggled against the number lately and is just 1-4 ATS over its last 5 games.
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Purdue at Michigan odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Purdue -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | Michigan +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
- Against the spread (ATS): Purdue -5.5 (-110) | Michigan +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Purdue at Michigan picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 69, Michigan 67
Moneyline
There is no value on risking more than 2 1/2 times your potential return on Purdue (+260) to win.
PASS.
Against the spread
The Boilermakers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight-up win. The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against winning teams, and they have certainly had the ATS upper hand in recent meetings in this series.
UM has dropped a few close games of late and is likely getting a point or 2 in some value here. Michigan’s 3-point defense is just solid enough, and Purdue’s offensive efficiency on the road makes the Boilermakers gettable here — against the number, anyway.
TAKE MICHIGAN +5.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Peg this one for a moderate-to-slow pace. This is a fair number: PASS.
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