The Purdue Boilermakers (7-4, 5-3 Big Ten) meet the Indiana Hoosiers (4-7, 2-6) Saturday at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Indiana odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Boilermakers can win the Big Ten West Division with a victory over the Hoosiers, earning an even much bigger prize than the Old Oaken Bucket, awarded to the winner of this rivalry game.
Purdue leads the all-time series 75-42-6, including 3 of the past 4 seasons. This is the first meeting in Bloomington since Nov. 24, 2018 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Indiana hasn’t won the Old Oaken Bucket at home since Nov. 26, 2016, although it did win at Purdue Nov. 30, 2019. IU has also won 5 of the past 8 meetings overall.
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Purdue at Indiana odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Purdue -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Indiana +320 (bet $100 to win $320)
- Against the spread: Purdue -10.5 (-106) | Indiana +10.5 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 54 (O: -109 | U: -111)
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Purdue at Indiana picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 33, Indiana 19
Moneyline
PASS.
Purdue (-400) will cost 4 times the potential return, and that’s quite expensive in a rivalry game, especially on the road.
While Indiana (+320) would love nothing more than to spoil the chances of its rival, as this is basically the bowl game for the Hoosiers since they can no longer qualify for the postseason, I don’t see IU winning here.
Against the spread
PURDUE -10.5 (-106) will be able to move the ball on an Indiana defense that allows 34.3 point per game, which ranks 120th in FBS.
The Indiana offense has struggled all season, including going for 17 or fewer points in 4 of the past 6 games. Yes, the Hoosiers scored a season-high 39 points in an overtime win at Michigan State, but Indiana will struggle to put up points against a Purdue defense that allows just 340.3 total yards per game to rank 36th in the nation.
Over/Under
An UNDER 54 (-111) is the play as Purdue might have some nerves in its biggest Bucket game in a while, while Indiana just doesn’t have the horses to do much on offense.
The Under is 5-1-1 the past 7 meetings in Bloomington, and the Under is 6-2 in Purdue’s past 8 against teams with a losing overall record.
The Over has hit frequently for Indiana, thanks mostly due to its Swiss Cheese defense, but it’s a rivalry game, and we should see a decent effort from the Hoosiers D.
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