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The Purdue Boilermakers (1-4, 0-2 Big Ten) take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (4-1, 1-1) at Memorial Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Purdue vs. Illinois odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Outside of a 49-0 trouncing of the Indiana State Sycamores to open the season, Purdue has been bullied. Notre Dame (66-7), Oregon State (38-21), Nebraska (28-10) and Wisconsin (52-6) made Boilermakers fans wish they never left the pre-game tailgating activities. Purdue had 117 passing yards and 99 rushing yards in a touchdown-less loss to Wisconsin last time out.
Illinois, No. 23 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, fell 21-7 at Penn State 2 weeks ago before the bye. They covered as 19-point dogs in the affair and are 4-0-1 ATS on the year. QB Luke Altmyer was 16-for-25 for 185 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT against PSU. He also had the dubious line of 15 rushes for -28 yards. How do you accomplish that with a long rush of 13 yards? He looked great before that, though, with 10 TDs and 1 INT overall.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Purdue at Illinois odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at Friday at 5:39 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Purdue +1000 (bet $100 to win $1000) | Illinois -2000 (bet $2000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Purdue +22.5 (-110) | Illinois -22.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Purdue at Illinois picks and predictions
Prediction
Illinois 34, Purdue 10
Moneyline
There is absolutely nothing to see here. The Illini should roll, but no thanks to the -2000.
PASS.
Against the spread
Purdue is now the biggest underdogs it has been all season after combining to score 16 points the last 2 weeks. The Boilers have won 4 straight in this matchup, but they are clearly inferior talent-wise this season. U of I is an up-and-comer, and they’re coming. Take ILLINOIS -22.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Illinois is 1-4 O/U this season and has averaged 22.8 points per game over their last 4 games. Purdue is 3-2 O/U despite scoring 10 or fewer points in 3 of 4 games. I expect the Illini to establish a big lead and work the clock on the ground. They have big games coming up against Michigan and Oregon, and I don’t expect the pedal to be pressed to the metal.
Give me the UNDER 48.5 (-115).
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