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The Providence Friars (7-7, 1-2 Big East) and the No. 13 UConn Huskies (11-3, 3-0) meet Sunday. Tip-off at Gampel Pavilion is set for 2 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Providence vs. UConn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Friars were roughed up on New Year’s Eve at home against the Marquette Golden Eagles, losing 78-50 as a 6.5-point underdog as the Under (142.5) cashed. Providence has lost 3 in a row, while going 2-7 straight up (SU) and 3-6 against the spread (ATS) in the past 9 outings. The Under is 3-1-1 in the previous 5 games, too.
UConn worked over the DePaul Blue Demons 81-68 on the road Wednesday as an 11.5-point favorite as the Over (144.5) cashed. UConn has won 7 in a row since it dropped 3 straight in the Maui Invitational Nov. 25-28. UConn is 5-2 ATS in the past 7 games, too, while cashing the Over in 3 in a row, and 8-1-1 across the previous 10 contests.
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Providence at UConn odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:47 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Providence +775 (bet $100 to win $775) | UConn -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Providence +15.5 (-115) | UConn -15.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 137.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Providence at UConn picks and predictions
Prediction
UConn 82, Providence 64
Moneyline
UConn (-1400) will set you back 14 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, backing the Huskies is not a good idea. It will suck all of the value out of your betslip.
PASS.
Against the spread
UCONN -15.5 (-105) is worth a look, but don’t get carried away. The Huskies are a solid 5-2 ATS in the past 7 games, but just 2-3 ATS in the past 5 as a double-digit favorite, so be careful.
However, Providence +15.5 (-115) is also a dismal 3-5 ATS in the past 8 games. It is a respectable 4-2 ATS in the past 6 outings as an underdog, though. This won’t be a blowout, and while UConn is 2-1-1 ATS in the past 4 meetings, Providence holds a slight 4-3-1 ATS edge in the past 8 meetings, including 2-2-1 ATS in the past 5 trips to Storrs.
Over/Under
OVER 137.5 (-105) might be the best play on the board in this Big East clash.
The Over has a slight 3-2 edge in the past 5 meetings in Connecticut. While the Under is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games for Providence, it has allowed at least 72 or more points in 3 straight games.
For UConn, the Over has cashed in 3 in a row, while going 8-1-1 in the past 10 outings. The Huskies are driving this Over train.
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