Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) face the Miami Dolphins (3-3) on the road for the Sunday night matchup in Week 7. Kickoff is 8:20 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium (NBC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Steelers vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Steelers snapped a 4-game losing streak last week with a 20-18 home win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. QBs Kenny Pickett — who exited in the 3rd quarter for concussion protocol — and Mitch Trubisky each had a touchdown pass. Meanwhile, the defense held the Bucs to 4-for-14 on third-down plays.

The Dolphins have lost 3 straight games after starting the season 3-0. The offense has disappeared. After averaging 27.7 points per game during the 3-0 start, they’ve averaged just 16.0 PPG in the losing streak. Most of the decline can be attributed to QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion protocol) sitting the last 2½ games after getting injured in the 2nd quarter of streak’s 1st loss — at Cincinnati on a Thursday night. The good news is that he’s expected to play Sunday vs. Pittsburgh.

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Steelers at Dolphins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Steelers +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Dolphins -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +7.5 (-117) | Dolphins -7.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Steelers at Dolphins key injuries

Steelers

  • CB James Pierre (hip) questionable
  • CB Ahkello Witherspoon (hamstring) doubtful

Dolphins

  • OL Terron Armstead (toe) questionable
  • CB Keion Crossen (knee) doubtful
  • CB Xavien Howard (groin) questionable
  • CB Kader Kohou (oblique) questionable
  • OL Greg Little (Achilles) questionable
  • DE Emmanuel Ogbah (back) questionable
  • TE Durham Smythe (hamstring) questionable
  • WR Jaylen Waddle (shoulder) questionable
  • DL Christian Wilkins (hand) questionable

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Steelers at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 24, Steelers 20

Moneyline

The return of Tagovailoa should jump-start the Dolphins offense.

The question is which Steelers defense will show up. It has allowed 20 or fewer points in 3 of its 6 games — the first 2 games and last week vs. the Bucs. In the other 3, they allowed an average of 30.3 points.

The Steelers’ 16.2-point average on offense is 30th in the league.

The return of Tagovailoa will be a big boost and the Steelers will come off the high of their win last week. But the -340 price of a moneyline bet to take the Dolphins isn’t worth it. PASS.

Against the spread

Only 1 of the Dolphins’ 3 wins was by more than 4 points.

The Steelers are 2-3-1 ATS. Miami is 3-3 ATS.

Pickett returns to the Steelers lineup after clearing concussion protocols and should give the offense some life. With more life from both teams, expect a close game.

TAKE STEELERS +7.5 (-117).

Over/Under

The Steelers have not yet had a game that has reached 45 total points this season.

Only 2 of the Dolphins’ 6 games have had 45 or more points.

TAKE UNDER 44.5 (-110).

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