Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens odds, picks and predictions

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The Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4) visit the Baltimore Ravens (9-5) for a Week 16 Saturday afternoon tilt in Charm City. Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Steelers vs. Ravens odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Steelers dropped their Week 15 matchup against the Eagles, 27-13, failing to cover as 5.5-point road underdogs. The Under 43 hit as Pittsburgh’s offense sputtered, totaling just 163 yards while allowing Philadelphia to rack up 401. RB Najee Harris had a rough outing, posting a season-low 14 rushing yards.

The Ravens rebounded from a Week 14 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles with a dominant 35-14 victory over the New York Giants in Week 15. They covered as 17-point road favorites, with the Over 43.5 hitting. QB Lamar Jackson bolstered his MVP case, tying a career-high with 5 touchdown passes, including 2 to WR Rashod Bateman, who finished with 80 receiving yards.

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Steelers at Ravens odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Steelers +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Ravens -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +6.5 (-105) | Ravens -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Steelers at Ravens key injuries

Steelers

S DeShon Elliott (hamstring) out
QB Justin Fields (abdominal) out
CB Donte Jackson (back) questionable
DT Larry Ogunjobi (groin) questionable
WR George Pickens (hamstring) out

Ravens

WR Nelson Agholor (concussion) out
CB Jalyn Armour-Davis (hamstring) out
WR Rashod Bateman (foot) questionable
OL Daniel Faalele (knee) questionable
WR Diontae Johnson (personal) out
LB Odafe Oweh (ankle) questionable

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Steelers at Ravens picks and predictions

Prediction

Ravens 24, Steelers 13

Moneyline

The Steelers have taken 8 of the last 9 matchups, but every single one was decided by 7 points or less. This time, I think it’ll break the mold, so I’m rolling with the spread and I’ll PASS on the moneyline.

Against the spread

It’s always a gritty matchup when these teams meet, but this one has a fresh twist: Lamar Jackson will play the Steelers in front of a packed house in Baltimore for the first time.

In 2018, he was Joe Flacco’s backup. In 2019 and 2023, he was rested. COVID kept fans away in 2020, and injuries sidelined him in 2021 and 2022. Now, he finally gets his shot.

The Ravens have won 3 of their last 4 at home, with their only loss coming to the Eagles, who just beat the Steelers. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s offense has been stuck in neutral without Pickens. Without their deep-ball threat, they’ve managed just 163 total yards in Week 15 and 158 passing yards in Week 14.

On top of that, LB T.J. Watt is dealing with an ankle injury from last week. He’s playing but won’t be at full strength, which takes a big piece out of Pittsburgh’s defense.

With Jackson ready to shine and the Steelers struggling, the Ravens are in a great spot to handle business and grab a much-needed divisional win.

BET RAVENS -6.5 (-115)

Over/Under

It’s tough to back the Over here. The Under has hit in 8 straight matchups, including an 18-16 game Nov. 17. Over their last 9 meetings, neither team has topped 20 points, which is wild. With that trend in mind, I’ll stick with the UNDER 44.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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