The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-93) will conclude a 2-game series against the New York Yankees (89-58) Wednesday at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Yankees with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-1
The Pirates have had a forgettable season, evidenced by their record with 14 games remaining on their schedule. Pittsburgh is on a 5-game losing streak and all 5 of those losses have come against the New York teams.
It was a legendary night for the Yankees on Tuesday as OF Aaron Judge hit his 60th home run of the season and OF Giancarlo Stanton hit a walk-off grand slam to help New York overcome an 8-5 deficit in the 9th inning against the Pirates. The Yankees are trying to finish the season strong as they are 5 1/2 games ahead of the Toronto Blue Jays in the AL East.
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Pirates at Yankees projected starters
RHP Roansy Contreras vs. RHP Luis Severino
Contreras (5-4, 3.24 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8 K/9 in 83 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed 1 or fewer ER in 4 consecutive starts
- The Pirates have won each of his last 3 road starts
Severino (5-3, 3.45 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 86 IP.
- Is making his 1st start since July 13
- July 6 at Pirates: 6 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K
Pirates at Yankees odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Pirates +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Yankees -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+110) | Yankees -1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Pirates at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 7, Pirates 4
Money line
The Yankees are understandably massive favorites in this game as they have World Series aspirations while the Pirates are just trying to get to the end of the season. Even with New York’s high chances of winning, AVOID betting the money line in this game.
Run line/Against the spread
YANKEES -1.5 (-135) is where I’m leaning in this game with New York coming off an impressive win Tuesday. The Yankees are 6-0 in Severino’s last 6 starts against teams from the NL Central and I believe they can easily win by multiple runs.
Plus, the Pirates are 1-9 in their last 10 meetings against the Yankees on the road.
Over/Under
We have a young pitcher making his 1st career start against the Yankees and a pitcher that is making his 1st start in over 2 months Wednesday night. OVER 7.5 RUNS (-130) is the ideal play in this game given the pitching situation for both teams.
In the last 2 meetings between the Pirates and the Yankees, there have been at least 16 runs scored in each game.
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