The Pittsburgh Pirates (53-65) begin a 3-game series against the New York Mets (53-65) on Monday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Pirates lead 2-1
The Pirates split a doubleheader against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, winning 4-2 before losing the 2nd game 6-5 in the 10th inning. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses in its last 5 contests and is in 4th place in the NL Central, 11 1/2 games out of 1st.
The Mets squeaked out a 7-6 win over the Atlanta Braves on Sunday to snap a 3-game losing streak. New York remains in 4th place in the NL East and is 22 1/2 games behind dividion-leading Atlanta.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Pirates at Mets projected starters
RHP Quinn Priester vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco
Priester (2-1, 8.75 ERA) makes his career 6th start. He has a 1.90 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 23 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 6-5 home loss to the Braves on Wednesday
- Road stats: 1-0, 6.75 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 2 starts
- Rookie’s 1st career start vs. the Mets
Carrasco (3-6, 6.42 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 81 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 home loss to the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday
- Home stats: 1-2, 7.82 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 31 ER) in 8 starts
- Career vs. Pirates: 2-1, 2.96 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 5 starts
Pirates at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Pirates at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Pirates 5
Moneyline
Even with New York’s woes this season, I’ll back the METS (-135) at home in Monday’s matchup. The Mets are 29-27 at home, while the Pirates are 24-33 on the road this season.
Run line/Against the spread
PIRATES +1.5 (-160) is the play for the run line unless the odds are worse than -160. The Pirates have won 3 of Priester’s 1st 5 starts, and Carrasco will likely keep this game close at home.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
OVER 10.5 (-115) is how I’d bet on the run total. Priester and Carrasco have both given up at least 4 ER in 4 of their last 5 starts.
The Pirates are also 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]