The Pittsburgh Pirates (23-39) and Milwaukee Brewers (36-27) play the second game of a three-game set at American Family Field Saturday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Chad Kuhl is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-3 with a 5.61 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 6.0 BB/9 over 25 2/3 IP through 6 starts.
Kuhl posted his first quality start of the season last time out on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, allowing just 3 R (2 ER), 3 H, and 1 BB with 2 K across 6 IP. He is still winless, but a lack of offensive support was to blame against Miami.
RHP Corbin Burnes is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 3-4 with a 1.97 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 14.3 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 over 59 1/3 IP through 10 starts.
Burnes turned in his second straight quality start last time out Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, twirling seven scoreless innings with 4 H, 0 BB, and 13 K in a win. It was his first victory since April 20.
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Pirates at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Pirates +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Brewers -305 (bet $305 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +2.5 (-135) | Brewers -2.5 (+110)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -115 | Under -105)
Prediction
Brewers 7, Pirates 2
Money line (ML)
The Brewers (-305) will cost you over three times your potential return. Milwaukee won 7-4 in the series opener behind Brandon Woodruff, and you can expect similar results in this one.
However, PASS betting this one straight up, and play the run line instead.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BREWERS -2.5 (+110) are much better value on the run line rather than risking a fortune straight up. Milwaukee has won by three or more runs in five of their past seven victories, which have come in the eight games since June 3.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 7.5 (-115) is the play. The Over cashed Friday, is 7-3 in Pittsburgh’s last 10 outings, and is 3-0-1 in their last four on the road.
For Milwaukee, the Over is 10-4 in the past 14 as a favorite, and 3-1-1 in the past five against a right-handed starter.
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