The Pittsburgh Pirates (1-3) and Cincinnati Reds (3-1) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET at the Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Trevor Cahill is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He was 1-2 with a 3.24 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 5.0 BB/9 in 25 IP across six starts and five relief appearances in 2020 with the San Francisco Giants. He hasn’t faced the Reds since June 26, 2019, when he allowed two hits and a walk in two scoreless innings of relief as a member of the Los Angeles Angels.
LHP Wade Miley is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He was 0-3 with a 5.65 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 5.7 BB/9 in 14 1/3 IP in four starts and two relief appearances last season. He hasn’t faced the Pirates since Sept. 23, 2018, when he was a member of the Milwaukee Brewers. He was 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and .305 opponent batting average in 14 innings across three starts against the Pirates in 2018.
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Pirates at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Reds -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-145) | Reds -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Reds 6, Pirates 2
Money line (ML)
The REDS (-155) are moderate favorites here behind their fifth starter Miley, but they’re a good play. The Pirates (+125) haven’t faced a southpaw yet this season, and they might not be looking forward to their first try in 2021. Also, their best hitter, 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes (wrist) landed on the injured list. The Bucs are just 16-35 across the past 51 games against a left-handed starting pitcher.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The REDS -1.5 (+120) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line. They have won three straight hitting the run line in each. It was a close shave on Monday, though, as the Reds needed some late-inning heroics against the Pirates +1.5 (-145) bullpen to push bettors across the line.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 9 (-115) is a great play. Yes, Cincinnati has hit the Over in three of its four games to date, but the Under cashed in the series opener with Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are struggling to put up runs, averaging just 3.0 runs per game, and they have played just seven runs over the past three outings since their lone win, a 5-3 opener at Chicago Cubs.
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