The Pittsburgh Penguins (36-27-10) travel to meet the Detroit Red Wings (31-32-9) Tuesday. Puck drop from Little Caesars Arena in Detroit is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Penguins vs. Red Wings odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Penguins picked up a 4-3 win on home ice Saturday against the Washington Capitals as the Over cashed. After a 4-game skid, including 3 games in a row from March 16-20 with 3 total goals, the Pens are averaging 3.7 goals per game (GPG) across the last 3 outings.
The Red Wings were blanked 3-0 by Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers on the road Saturday. Detroit has managed a 1-5 mark in the last 6 games, slipping under .500 overall on the season. The Red Wings are averaging just 1.7 GPG across the last 6 outings.
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Penguins at Red Wings odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Penguins -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Red Wings +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Penguins -1.5 (+140) | Red Wings +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +102 | U: -122)
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Penguins at Red Wings projected goalies
Tristan Jarry (21-10-6, 2.98 GAA, .908 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Alex Nedeljkovic (2-6-2, 3.83 GAA, .882 SV%)
Jarry was sharp last time out at Colorado, turning aside 28 of the 30 shots he faced in a 5-2 win last Wednesday against the Avalanche. He is still just 3-3-1 with a 4.04 GAA and .861 SV% in 9 starts in the month of March.
Nedeljkovic is confirmed to start, as Ville Husso (lower body) is sidelined. Ned came on in place of the struggling Magnus Hellberg against St. Louis Thursday, and he was sharp in a 3-0 loss in Philadelphia. Nedeljkovic allowed just 2 goals on 21 shots, but he obviously received no offensive support.
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Penguins at Red Wings picks and predictions
Prediction
Penguins 5, Red Wings 3
Moneyline
The Penguins (-180) are right at my personal limit for a singular moneyline play. However, I don’t really like the Pens as the road favorite, even against a shaky Red Wings (+160) side. There is just too much risk, and not enough reward, especially since Jarry has been so shaky lately.
PASS.
Puck line/Against the spread
The PENGUINS -1.5 (+140) are a much better value at plus-money laying the goal and a half.
Pittsburgh has failed to cover in 4 straight on the puck line as a favorite, so be careful and go lightly. But this is the much better value, especially on the road.
Over/Under
The OVER 6.5 (+102) is a solid value at plus-money.
Jarry has been very giving lately, and Nedeljkovic has coughed up a lot of goals in his 2 stints in the NHL this season. This could be a high-scoring affair at LCA.
The Pens are rested, and the Over is 4-1 in the last 5 when playing on 2 days of rest. In addition, the Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 home games for the Wings.
The Over is also 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in this series, including a 5-4 OT win by the Wings in Pittsburgh in the 1st meeting on Dec. 28.
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