The Philadelphia Phillies (35-31) and Washington Nationals (23-45) continue a 5-game series with a 4:35 p.m. ET Saturday contest at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 3-0.
The Phillies have taken the first 3 games of this series – 1 Thursday and both ends of a Friday twin bill – and are 14-2 this month. Philadelphia has scored 23 runs in this series and owns a robust .861 OPS in June.
The Nationals have pitched themselves into the basement in the NL East. Washington has lost 7 in a row. Since May 30, the Nats are 5-14 with a 6.71 ERA.
Phillies at Nationals projected starters
RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Josiah Gray
Nola (4-4, 3.42 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start of the season. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 81 2/3 IP.
- Has gone 4 straight starts (29 1/3 IP) without issuing a walk; 1.1 BB/9 for the season would be a career-best mark.
- Struggled against Washington last season, allowing 11R in 9 IP.
Gray (6-4, 4.33 ERA) has logged a 1.32 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 62 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 7R in a home start May 24. Owns a 1.13 ERA across 3 starts since.
- Lefty bats for Philly have cranked out above-average numbers against right-handers (.784 OPS). That could well be a problem for Gray, who has yielded an .889 OPS to left-handed bats in his 2-year career.
Phillies at Nationals odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Nationals +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Run line (RL): Phillies -1.5 (-117) | Nationals +1.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Phillies at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Nationals 3
Money line
The on-a-roll Phils are a strong lean … but only up to -190. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
Washington’s .668 home OPS ranks 24th in the league. Philadelphia’s .787 mark on the road ranks 1st.
With the club’s runs-vs.-runs-allowed profile heading into the last couple weeks, the Phillies were a value target. Some of that edge has been filed down, but the visiting 9 does have an attractive price here.
TAKE PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-117).
Over/Under
Neither bullpen is in great shape after Friday’s double-dip, but both starters have solid expected-ERA figures. With a cooled-off weather forecast that includes a 15-mph pitcher’s wind in from left-center, TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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