The Philadelphia Phillies (19-17) and Washington Nationals (13-18) continue a three-game NL East series Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Zack Wheeler is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 3-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 9.3 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 47 2/3 IP over 7 starts.
This season Wheeler has upped his strikeouts while generating manageable contact. He has a would-be career-best 12.8% swinging-strike rate. Current Washington bats own a .667 OPS against him, and the Nationals are pegged to their lesser platoon numbers when facing right-handed pitching (.669 OPS).
LHP Jon Lester is the projected starter for the Nationals. In 2 starts, Lester is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 5.4 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 in 10 IP.
Current Philadelphia batters have pounded Lester in past meetings (.899 OPS).
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Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Nationals +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Nationals 6, Phillies 3
Money line (ML)
Figure the Nats as being a value in general right now but perhaps not with Lester on the mound Wednesday.
PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Over is likely the best play in this contest. Heading into this series, Washington had a .748 OPS over the last two weeks; Philly had a .635 mark. Wheeler is coming off a season-high 118 pitches in his last.
Consider a partial-unit play on the NATIONALS -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under (O/U)
Much more is expected from both these offenses. Both have had a tough slate of opposing pitchers so far.
BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105).
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