The Philadelphia Phillies (0-4) face New York Yankees (3-1) in the 2nd game of a 3-game series on Tuesday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 1-0.
Anthony Rizzo‘s 1st HR of the season ignited a 5-run fifth inning as the Yankees beat the Phillies 8-1 on Monday. The Phillies have lost 4 games in a row to begin the season and have been outscored 37-12.
The Yankees have won 2 games in a row with solid contributions from their pitching staff thus far. Outside of its 7-5 loss to the San Francisco Giants, New York has allowed 1 ER or less in each game.
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Phillies at Yankees projected starters
LHP Matt Strahm vs. RHP Domingo German
Strahm was 4-4 in 2022 with a 3.83 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9, and 10.5 K/9 in 44 2/3 IP.
- Has primarily operated out of the bullpen in each of the last 3 seasons
- Last career start was Aug. 17, 2021; pitched 1 1/3 innings in loss to San Diego Padres
German was 2-5 in 14 starts last season with a 3.61 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9, and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.
- His 7.2 K/9 in 2022 was the lowest mark of his 5-year MLB career
- Has made 14-plus starts in each of the last 4 seasons with NY
Phillies at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Phillies at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Phillies 3
Moneyline
With the Phillies struggling with OF Bryce Harper and 1B Rhys Hoskins sidelined, I’ll take the YANKEES (-150) to win at home. I wouldn’t advise taking the moneyline if the odds are worse than -150.
Run line/Against the spread
YANKEES -1.5 (+135) is the pick in this matchup with New York’s lineup likely having success against Strahm. Meanwhile, the Phillies have sputtered on offense despite adding SS Trea Turner in free agency.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).
The Yankees have combined for 9 HR in their 1st 4 games of the season and Strahm hasn’t had much experience starting games. German has also struggled with giving up homers, allowing at least 1.4 HR/9 in each of the last 4 seasons he’s played.
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