The Philadelphia Phillies (25-29) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (33-23) Tuesday for the start of a 3-game series at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Philly is riding a 4-game winning streak, which includes a 3-game sweep at home of the Los Angeles Angeles last weekend after Friday’s firing of Joe Girardi as manager.
Milwaukee lost its prior 3 games as part of a 4-game home series with the San Diego Padres and the Brewers are just 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
Season series: Milwaukee leads 2-1 with a plus-1 run differential in those meetings.
Phillies at Brewers projected starters
LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Jason Alexander
Suarez is 4-3 with a 4.69 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 48 IP across 10 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Tuesday’s 7-4 win at home vs. the San Francisco Giants with 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 5 K.
- 2022 vs. the Brewers: No-decision in Philly’s 4-2 home win April 22 with 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 4 K.
Alexander (0-0, 2.57 ERA) is making his 2nd MLB start. He picked up a no-decision Wednesday in Milwaukee’s 4-3 loss, allowing 3 R (2 ER), 7 H, 3 BB with 3 K.
Phillies at Brewers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Brewers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Phillies at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Brewers 4
Money line
LEAN PHILLIES (-105).
Suarez’s advanced pitching numbers have regressed year over year but Milwaukee’s lineup struggles vs. lefties and Alexander is facing a loaded Philly lineup in just his 2nd career start.
The Brewers are 9-11 straight up (SU) vs. lefty starters and their lineup ranks 28th in wRC+ (82), 23rd in wOBA (.288) and 18th in BB/K rate (0.38) vs. left-handed pitching, according to FanGraphs.
However, it’s only a LEAN to the PHILLIES (-105) because Suarez is a bottom-of-the-rotation guy, Milwaukee’s bullpen is much better than Philly’s and the Brewers are 15-9 SU at home.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I’m not confident enough to lay it with the Phillies -1.5 (+155) and wouldn’t bet the Brewers +1.5 (-190) and Philly’s ML.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-112).
Sharp money has steamed this total up from an 8-run opener up to the current number (per Pregame.com), Philly is 17-7 O/U on the road and 7-2 O/U in Suarez’s 9 starts.
That said, it’s only a LEAN OVER 8.5 (-112) because both lineups struggle vs. their respective opponent’s pitch handedness and the Brewers were shut out twice last weekend.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]