Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (4-6) continue their road trip Monday by opening a 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies (6-3). First pitch is 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

First meeting this season. The Rockies won 5 of 7 vs. the Phillies in 2021.

The Phillies opened the season with 3 wins in 4 games, but have dropped 5 of their last 6 games. They just finished a 4-game road series against the Miami Marlins, dropping 3 of the games. They lost 11-3 Sunday.

The Rockies lost 6-4 Sunday to the Chicago Cubs, splitting their 4-game series at home. They have played 7 of their first 9 games at Coors Field.

Phillies at Rockies: Projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Chad Kuhl

Nola (1-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his third start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3 BB and 12 K in 9 1/3 IP.

  • Lasted only 3 1/3 inning in his last outing, a 9-6 loss to the New York Mets. He allowed 3 runs on 3 hits, 3 walks and a hit batsman.
  • He’s 2-0 in 3 career starts at Coors Field with a 4.12 ERA.

Kuhl (0-0, 2.08 ERA) makes his second start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4 BB and 5 K in 4 1/3 IP.

  • Didn’t pick up the win, but the Rockies beat the Rangers 4-1 in his first start. He allowed a run on 2 hits in 4 1/3 innings.
  • Making his first home start at Coors Field. In 5 previous seasons with the Pittsburgh Pirates, he was 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA in 2 career starts there.

Phillies at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Rockies +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-108) | Rockies +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 6, Phillies 5

Money line

The Phillies have lost 3 of 4 road games this season and Nola struggled in his last start.

The Rockies are starting off all right at home, where they won 48 games last season. They are 4-3 at Coors Field so far. Kuhl was effective in his first start.

Kris Bryant and Charlie Blackmon both have career averages over .300 against Nola in over 10 at-bats.

The Phillies will have to adjust quickly to the thin Denver air.

Take ROCKIES (+133).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Rockies have covered the spread in 4 of 5 games this season in which they have been the underdog.

The Phillies are 2-5 ATS as favorites.

I like Colorado at home, especially early in the season when lines have not adjusted for actual play vs. expectations. I prefer the money line as a bet because it is the better value but I still like ROCKIES +1.5 (-112) here.

Over/Under

Games at Coors Field always get a high projected total. So far this season, only 2 of 7 games there have had totals of 12 runs or more.

Four of the Phillies’ 10 games have had 12 or more runs, including Nola’s first start. Kuhl’s first start had only 5 total runs.

Take UNDER 11.5 (-125).

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