The Philadelphia Phillies (72-57) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (60-67) in the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Chase Field is 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 2-2
After jumping out to a 7-0 lead, the Phillies lost the series opener 13-7. It was their 2nd straight loss following a 6-game win streak. They remain in 3rd place in the NL East and in place as the 2nd NL Wild Card team.
The Diamondbacks won their 4th game in a row and it was their 5th win in their last 6 games. OF Corbin Carroll, the organization’s top prospect who made his big league debut Monday, had a 2-run double to give the Diamondbacks the lead.
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Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Nola (9-10, 3.08 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 166 2/3 IP.
- Threw a complete-game shutout in his last outing, a 4-0 win over the Cincinnati Reds Thursday.
- Has allowed 1 or 0 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings.
Gallen (9-2, 2.66 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 138 2/3 IP.
- Has not allowed a run in his last 27 1/3 innings, spanning 4 starts.
- Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of his last 8 starts.
- Arizona won 6 of his last 7 starts.
Phillies at Diamondbacks odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:38 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+122) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Phillies 3
Money line
Gallen is rolling for Arizona with 4 straight outings without allowing a run. The Diamondbacks squandered his last start but had won his 6 previous outings. They are now 33-32 at Chase Field and 13-8 in their last 21 games.
Nola has allowed 1 or 0 runs in 4 of his last 5 starts but did allow 5 runs over 5 innings two starts ago against the New York Mets.
The Phillies are only 11-14 when Nola starts.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS (+115).
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Run line/Against the spread
Despite the losing record overall, the Diamondbacks have been one of the better ATS bets all season. They are 74-53 ATS overall this year, which is the 3rd-best mark in baseball. They are 36-29 ATS at home.
The Phillies are 67-62 ATS overall and 34-26 ATS on the road.
The better bet is on the money line because of the value, but the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-150) is still a bet worth taking.
Over/Under
Three of Gallen’s last 4 starts have had totals of 7 runs or fewer.
Nola has allowed 1 or 0 runs in 5 of his last 7 starts.
Barring some unexpected offensive explosion against two pitchers who have been very good this season (both starters have WHIPs under 1.00), this should be a low-scoring affair.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-125).
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