Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (61-58) and Arizona Diamondbacks (39-81) play the second game of a third-game series Wednesday at Chase Field, with a 9:40 p.m. first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Phillies LHP Ranger Suarez (5-3, 1.07 ERA) makes his fourth start and 31st appearance of the season. He enters Wednesday with a 0.87 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 50 1/3 IP.

  • The left-hander last pitched Thursday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, where he threw 4 1/3 innings and allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits and 2 walks.
  • Over his first three starts, Suarez has a 0.90 ERA, and opposing teams are hitting .094/.237/.094 against him with a .331 OPS.

Diamondbacks RHP Humberto Castellanos (0-1, 2.30 ERA) comes into his second start with a 1.21 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9.

  • Hasn’t pitched since early July when he threw 4 innings against the Colorado Rockies without allowing a run. The 23-year-old right-hander pitch deeper than 6 innings during his time in the minors since his last start in the majors, so he should be a full go in terms of a pitch count.

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks, and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (-108) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

The Phillies are 16th in MLB with a .240 batting average and .404 slugging percentage, with 140 home runs.  Philadelphia’s coming off a 3-2 loss to the Diamondbacks Tuesday in which they mustered only 3 hits against the team with the highest ERA in the National League.

Lean slightly toward the DIAMONDBACKS (+145).

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Lean toward ARIZONA +1.5 (-112).

The Phillies offense is averaging only 4.76 runs per game in road games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Lean toward the UNDER 9.5 (-120), as Philadelphia is a modest 59-58-2 against the O/U this season.

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