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The Philadelphia Flyers (14-13-4) visit the Detroit Red Wings (12-14-4) Wednesday. The opening puck drop at Little Caesars Arena will be at 7 p.m. (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Flyers vs. Red Wings odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Flyers lead 1-0
The Flyers have not played since Saturday when they lost 4-1 at the Minnesota Wild. Philadelphia had won its previous 2 games, and that included a 4-1 home win over Detroit Dec. 12.
The Red Wings bounced back from their setback in Philly with a 4-2 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday. Detroit has played a slew of close games of late, the Wings are 2-4-2 over their last 8 contests.
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Flyers at Red Wings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Flyers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Red Wings -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-275) | Red Wings -1.5 (+220)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Flyers at Red Wings projected goalies
Samuel Ersson (6-4-2, 2.87 GAA, .891 SV%) vs. Alex Lyon (4-4-0, 2.74 GAA, .911 SV%)
Ersson started the Saturday game at Minnesota and allowed 3 goals on 21 shots. He owns a lackluster .844 SV% across his last 3 starts.
Lyon has been out since Nov. 25 with a lower-body injury. He owns a solid .916 SV% in career games on home ice.
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Flyers at Red Wings picks and predictions
Prediction
Flyers 4, Red Wings 3
Moneyline
In the meeting 2 games back, Philly outshot Detroit 36-26. But in scoring chances, the Wings managed a near 3-2 edge, and 2 of the Flyers’ goals were empty-net jobs.
Both clubs have improved analytics of late, but those gains have not really been reflected in game results. Still, Philadelphia has the more unrealized expected-goal potential, and Detroit is just 1-2-1 over its last 4 at home.
The leverage here is slight. Consider a partial-unit play on the FLYERS (-105).
Puck line/Against the spread
No interest. AVOID.
Over/Under
The Philly offense is the most untapped sector of this matchup. Figure on more being in the tank than what has showed for a club averaging 2.90 goals per game with a 16.7% power play. Per Naturalstattrick.com, the Flyers’ 13.6% conversion in 5-on-5 high-danger looks ranks 31st in the NHL. That’s a lot of lost production on the highest percentage shots from around the slot.
With Lyon returning from injury, the Red Wings having a solid power play (24.4%) and the Flyers being whistled for a lot of penalties of late (11.3 PIM per game last six games), the OVER 6 (-110) is the value side here.
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