Pro Football Focus thinks Dalton Kincaid could be gearing up for a historical rookie season.
How about 1,000 yards, anyone?
The football analytics outlet named 12 bold predictions for each division in the NFL. Among those connected to the AFC East was the projection of monster rookie year for the first-round rookie of the Buffalo Bills.
And in thanks to… Dawson Knox.
PFF notes how rookie tight ends often struggle in the league. However, it’s because of blocking, not receiving skill–which Kincaid has a ton of. PFF’s specific prediction is that Kincaid will become only the third tight end in NFL history to surpass 1,000 yards as a rookie.
Since Kincaid might need to be given time to grow into his blocking ability… why not just throw Knox there and let Kincaid run wild? That’s how PFF sees it.
Here’s the projection made on Kincaid’s rookie year:
Rookie tight ends typically don’t have huge production right out of the gate, but a big part of that is the blocking responsibility that limits their use. With Dawson Knox already in place, the Bills have the rare luxury of being able to deploy Dalton Kincaid with very little in-line blocking responsibility, essentially turning him loose as a big-slot weapon.
Kincaid’s 2022 PFF receiving grade (91.8) was the best in the nation, and he averaged 2.4 yards per route run. Buffalo’s offense is already elite, but there’s a clear and obvious role for him inside and he has the skill set to capitalize on it right away.
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