The Green Bay Packers are one of just seven teams with 10 or more picks in the 2020 NFL draft, but GM Brian Gutekunst won’t be blessed with a massive amount of draft capital next week.
The problem is in the distribution and value of the picks. Seven of the Packers’ 10 picks are on Day 3, lessening the overall value.
Rene Bugner recently compiled a detailed and thorough look at the draft capital of each team entering the 2020 draft, using pick valuation charts from several different sources (Jimmy Johnson, Chase Stuart, Rich Hill and Over the Cap). In three out of the four valuations, the Packers rank 24th in the NFL or lower in overall draft capital.
🚨 Distribution of the 2020 NFL Draft picks
đź“… April 15thI calculated the draft capital using these draft pick value charts:
â—Ź J.J. = Jimmy Johnson
â—Ź C.S = Chase Stuart
â—Ź R.H. = Rich Hill
â—Ź F.-S. = Jason Fitzgerald & Brad Spielberger (OTC)đź’ˇ Sorted by ORIGINAL draft order pic.twitter.com/zfAx1A009h
— RenĂ© Bugner (@RNBWCV) April 15, 2020
The Packers hold one pick in each of the first five rounds and five combined in the sixth and seventh rounds. After finishing 13-3 and advancing to the NFC title game in 2019, the Packers will pick 30th in each of the first six rounds. The team didn’t receive a compensatory pick, but four of the Packers’ Day 3 picks were acquired via trades.
The hoard of late-round picks could make the Packers strong trade-up candidates, especially on Day 3. The lack of overall draft capital, however, could tempt Gutekunst to trade down early and add capital in the middle rounds.
Within the NFC North, the Detroit Lions (third overall pick) and Minnesota Vikings (two first-round picks) are both well-situated to acquire strong value from the draft. The Chicago Bears, who don’t have a pick in the first, third or fourth rounds, sit below the Packers in total valuation in all four valuations.
The Miami Dolphins hold the most draft capital in all four valuations. The Bears, Pittsburgh Steelers, Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans are viewed as the four teams with the least capital.
Keep this all in mind as teams attempt to find trades and maneuver around the draft board next week. The Packers, with Gutekunst in control, should be active trade participants.
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