Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins sports betting odds and lines, with NHL betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Ottawa Senators (16-18-5) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (23-11-4) Monday at PPG Paints Arena for a 7 p.m. ET puck drop. We analyze the Senators-Penguins sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.

Senators at Penguins: Projected starting goalies

Marcus Hogberg vs. Matt Murray

Hogberg, a third-round pick pick in the 2013 NHL Entry Draft, will make his ninth career NHL start, and fifth of the season, Monday. He is 1-1-2 in 2019-20 with a .903 save percentage and a 3.10 goals against average. He has given up four goals in each of his last three starts.

Murray, a third-round pick in the 2012 draft, is 11-6-4 on the year with a .894 SV% and 2.96 GAA. He stopped 44 of 48 shots in a win over the Nashville Predators his last time out. He has given up 29 goals on 197 shots over his last seven games played.


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Senators at Penguins: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Penguins 6, Senators 4

Moneyline (ML)

The Penguins (-303) are 8-2 across their last 10 games and 15-4-2 at home for the year. They’ve won two straight, sweeping a home-and-home with the Nashville Predators Friday (5-2) and Saturday (6-4). The Senators (+240) are 4-2-4 across their last 10 games, but just 5-13-3 on the road this season. They fell 4-3 in overtime to the New Jersey Devils Sunday.

Pittsburgh will win, but there’s no value on the moneyline wager with a $10 bet returning a profit of $3.30. Seek a better return on your investment on the spread.

Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The Penguins (-2.5, +165) are laying a rare 2 goals on the puck line. Back the SENATORS (+2.5, -200) to lose by 2 or fewer goals or win outright. Hogberg isn’t as overmatched as it may seem against the struggling Murray and each of the Senators’ last three losses went to extra time.

The Sens are 23-16 against the spread for the season and 11-10 away from home. The Pens are 19-19 ATS overall and 9-12 on home ice.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the OVER 6.5 (+120) at plus-money and rest comfortably, wake up in the morning and collect your winnings. The Sens hit the Over in eight of their last 10 games while the Pens went 5-5 against the projected totals. There’s no reason to believe in either of these ‘tenders.

Esten’s NHL betting record: 145-118

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