Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Orlando Magic (13-45) visit Pepsi Center Monday to take on the Denver Nuggets (31-25). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Magic vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Nuggets return home after a 110-109 win over the Raptors Saturday in Toronto as 5.5-point underdogs.

Denver has covered 4 straight and is 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games. Led by C Nikola Jokic, the Nuggets are 25-30-1 ATS overall but just 11-14 ATS as the home team.

As for Orlando, it has covered just 4 of its last 10. The Magic are playing their fourth straight road game. They failed to cover most recently against the Suns in a 132-105 loss as 16.5-point underdogs.

This will be Orlando’s 3rd game in 4 days. The Magic are 25-33 ATS, including 18-15 ATS on the road.

Magic at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:33 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Magic +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Nuggets -850 (bet $850 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Magic +11.5 (-115) | Nuggets -11.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Magic at Nuggets key injuries

Magic

  • PG R.J. Hampton (knee) out
  • C Moritz Wagner (rib) out

Nuggets

  • PG Monte Morris (concussion) questionable
  • PF Zeke Nnaji (hamstring) questionable

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Magic at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 120, Magic 106

Money line

PASS.

The Magic have the second-worst record in the NBA, but even in a matchup like this, betting the Nuggets at -850 has no value and shouldn’t be considered.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS -11.5 (-107). They are simply playing better basketball right now.

The Magic should be exhausted on the last leg of a 4-game road trip. The Nuggets shoot the 3rd-best percentage from the field, whereas the Magic rank 18th in opponents’ shooting.

Orlando’s real struggles come offensively, where it averages the 28th-most points per game and ranks within the bottom five teams in turnover rate and true-shooting rate, which factors in 3-point shooting.

The Magic are just 7-13 ATS in non-conference games as well. Their struggles offensively, on the road and against the Western Conference make the Nuggets the better way to play this game.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 224.5 (-112).

The Nuggets are 29-26-1 O/U, while the Magic are 30-27-1.

Considering Orlando’s struggles to score, I wouldn’t wager a full unit, but their defense has been atrocious lately, allowing 114 points or more points in 6 of their last 7.

Orlando has missed 100 in 3 of its last 4 though, failing to top the Over in each. Each of Denver’s last 10 opponents have hit triple digits, and the Nuggets allow 107.6 points per game.

Denver is 14-10-1 O/U at home.

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